{"product_id":"the-exponential-era-isbn-9781119814047","title":"The Exponential Era","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePraise for \u003ci\u003eThe Exponential Era\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"\u003ci\u003eThe Exponential Era\u003c\/i\u003e turns strategic planning from a stagnant limited application exercise to an active thoughtful process that can yield benefits for all companies and executives. Every company leader can find a gem in the Exponential Era to apply to their business big or small.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e—Michael Splinter\u003c\/b\u003e, Chairman of the Board, NASDAQ and Retired Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Applied Materials\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"I count this among the very best business books I have read. The authors have managed to synthesize a vast array of thinking and methodologies and deployed them in a practical and easily understood planning process (SPX) that addresses today's exponential pace of change.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e—James B. Stake\u003c\/b\u003e, former Executive Vice President, Enterprise Services, 3M Company and Chairman, Ativa Medical Corporation\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"\u003ci\u003eThe Exponential Era\u003c\/i\u003e is an essential read for our times.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e—John Puckett\u003c\/b\u003e, Owner of Punch Pizza and Co-founder of Caribou Coffee\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"\u003ci\u003eThe Exponential Era\u003c\/i\u003e does a great job of not only describing exponential technologies, but how they likely converge to transform our world.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e—Frank Diana\u003c\/b\u003e, Managing Partner, Futurist, TATA Consultancy Services\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"\u003ci\u003eThe Exponential Era\u003c\/i\u003e is a must-read for business leaders, entrepreneurs, and virtually anyone navigating our highly complex and rapidly changing world.\"\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003e—General (Ret. 4 Star) Joseph L. Votel\u003c\/b\u003e, President and CEO, Business Executives for National Security (BENS)\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAbout the Authors xv\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAcknowledgments xvii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eForeword xix\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eIntroduction 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Threat of Being Amazoned and Uberized 2\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eElephants Dancing to a Faster Tempo 4\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhere Is My Crystal Ball? 4\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTrillion-Dollar Platforms 6\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eChanging Wheels While the Car Is Running 7\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDealing with Chaos 8\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUncertainty Must Be Managed 8\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Premise Behind SPX 9\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow This Book Is Organized 11\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eSection One 15\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 1 The New Context for Our Future 17\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Future Is Not Your Brain’s Priority 18\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExponentials Make Fools of Humans 19\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Phases of Exponential Progression 19\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Exponential Explosion 22\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMoore’s Law: The Observation that Changed the World 24\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 2 Exponential Platforms: Convergences and Megatrends 27\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMegatrends 29\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eHyper Global Connectivity 29\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eA Longer and Healthier Life 30\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eAugmented and Virtual Worlds 31\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eAbundance 32\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eUpgraded Transportation 33\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eInstant Personalization 34\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eDigitization of Work 34\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eAutomated Shopping 35\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eRadical Interfaces 36\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eSustainable Environment 36\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExponential Platforms 37\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eArtificial Intelligence 37\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eNetworks and Blockchain 41\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eBiotechnology 43\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eQuantum Computing 44\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eInternet of Things 44\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003e3D Printing 45\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eRobotics 46\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eMaterial Science 47\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 3 Animals of the Exponential Kingdom 49\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFlash Boiled Frogs 49\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eNokia 50\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eBlockbuster 51\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDisruptive\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUnicorns 52\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eAirbnb 52\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eByteDance 53\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFast and Furious Gazelles 55\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eUber 55\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eNetflix 56\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDancing Elephants 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eIBM 59\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eMicrosoft 60\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDominating Gorillas 61\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eGoogle 61\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eAmazon 62\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eSection Two 65\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 4 Introducing SPX: Strategic Planning for the Exponential Era 67\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConvergence Research and Strategic Planning 68\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Manifesto that Changed How Software Is Built 69\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIterative Experiments in a Feedback Loop 71\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThinking Like a Designer 72\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGetting Inside the Opponent’s Head with OODA 73\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA New Approach to Strategic Planning 74\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTraditional Strategic Planning versus SPX 75\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 5 Detecting Early Signals 79\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIf It Is Obvious to Everyone, It Has No Value 80\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eResearch and Observation 83\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRemoving Barriers to Information Flow 84\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAccess Is the Name of the Game 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDealing with Uncertainty 87\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConducting Research 88\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePredictive Analytics 90\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTiming Analysis 92\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 6 Learning from Experiments 95\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDivergence and Convergence 96\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStarting with Divergence 97\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMoving into Convergence 99\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eShort Experiments 101\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRisks and Opportunities Identification 104\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEmbracing Chaos and Bad News 105\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 7 Capabilities – The Essential Fuel to Ride the Exponential Curve 107\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDetermine Capabilities 108\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003ePeople 109\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eProcess 112\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eTechnology 115\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eMarket 116\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eCapital 119\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDevelop Risk–Opportunity–Capability Map 120\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDevelop Priority List 122\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 8 Feedback-Based Strategic Decisions 125\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDetermine Scale and Scope 127\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExplore Highest Priorities 130\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGather Data and Feedback 132\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eScale or Terminate Initiatives 134\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 9 Leading a Culture of Change 137\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExploration versus Exploitation – the Innovator’s Dilemma 139\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAmplifying Flow Through the Organization 141\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMobilizing the Organization Through an Inflection Point 142\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKnowing When to Quit 143\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExecutive Engagement 145\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCulture and Behaviors 147\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eJudgment 148\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eCuriosity 148\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eInnovation 148\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eIntegrity 149\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eSection Three 151\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 10 The Exponential Human – Social and Ethical Challenges in a Chaotic World 153\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Workless Society 154                                                           \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEducation Reinvented 156\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGlobal Synchronous Communications 159\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNew Ethics for a New Era 161\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFor My Children 163\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA Discussion About The Use of The Term Exponential 165\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes and References 167\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eDAVID ESPINDOLA\u003c\/b\u003e is a Partner at Intercepting Horizons and an Advisory Board member of the Technological Leadership Institute at the University of Minnesota. As a former Chief Information Officer and consulting leader, he has developed global technology strategies and successfully implemented business transformation programs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eMICHAEL W. WRIGHT\u003c\/b\u003e is a Partner of Intercepting Horizons and the author of the acclaimed \u003ci\u003eNew Business Normal\u003c\/i\u003e, a former C-suite global high-tech executive at scale and an active board member. He is a University of Minnesota Sr. Fellow, Chairman Emeritus of the Advisory Board for the UMN Technological Leadership Institute, and formerly an adjunct professor at Carlson School of Management where he taught strategic leadership.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley-IEEE Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47990225502437,"sku":"NP9781119814047","price":53.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9781119814047.jpg?v=1761786979","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/products\/the-exponential-era-isbn-9781119814047","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}