{"product_id":"operational-weather-forecasting-isbn-9780470711590","title":"Operational Weather Forecasting","description":"\u003cp\u003eThis book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eOperational Weather Forecasting\u003c\/i\u003e covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres.  Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation.  Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAdvanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production.  In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS \u003ci\u003eAdvancing Weather and Climate\u003c\/i\u003e series a valuable tool. \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eProvides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eClearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eTakes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eDiscusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal  range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eFull colour throughout\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eWritten by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ePart of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e  \u003cp\u003eSeries Foreword vii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreface ix\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAcknowledgements xiii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e1 Introduction 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.1 A brief history of operational weather forecasting 2\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e2 The Nature of theWeather Forecasting Problem 9\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.1 Atmospheric predictability 9\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.2 The importance of observations in weather forecasting 13\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.3 An overview of the operational forecast process 17\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 25\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e3 Meteorological Observations 27\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.1 What do we need from a meteorological observing system? 27\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.2 Data transmission and processing 29\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.3 Observing platforms 31\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 51\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e4 NWP Models – the Basic Principles 53\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.1 The basic ingredients of an NWP model 55\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.2 Building the physical principles into a model 79\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.3 Setting the initial conditions for the forecast 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e5 Designing Operational NWP Systems 109\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.1 Practical considerations for an NWP suite 109\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.2 Ensemble prediction systems 124\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.3 Model output – what can NWP models produce? 130\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.4 Using NWP output to drive other forecast models 144\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 148\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e6 The Role of the Human Forecaster 149\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.1 The role of the senior forecasting team 150\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.2 Production of forecasts for customers 163\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e7 Forecasting at Longer Time Ranges 177\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.1 Where does the predictability come from in longer range forecasts? 178\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.2 Observations of ocean and land surface variables 185\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.3 Monthly to seasonal forecasting systems 187\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.4 Presentation of longer range forecasts 200\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 204\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e8 Forecast Verification 205\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.1 Deterministic forecast verification 208\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.2 Verification of probability forecasts 216\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.3 Subjective verification 219\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary 222\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 223\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 227\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e“Overall, this well written, well researched book is a great introduction to operational weather forecasting and the role of the operational meteorologist. It is also offers a good foundation for anyone considering the Royal Meteorological Society’s professional accreditations of Registered Meteorologist or Chartered Meteorologist.”  (\u003ci\u003eWeather\u003c\/i\u003e, 1 February 2015)\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e“Summing Up: Recommended.  Upper-division undergraduates.”  (\u003ci\u003eChoice\u003c\/i\u003e, 1 November 2013)\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePeter Inness\u003c\/b\u003e is a lecturer in the Meteorology Department of Reading University having previously been a Reasearch fellow in the Climate Division of the NERC funded National Centre for Atmospheric Science based at the University of Reading.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSteve Dorling\u003c\/b\u003e is Senior Lecturer and Researcher in the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia (UEA). Steve is also Innovations Director at UEA-based Weatherquest Ltd.\u003c\/p\u003e  \u003cp\u003eThis book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eOperational Weather Forecasting\u003c\/i\u003e covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres.  Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation.  Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAdvanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production.  In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the \u003ci\u003eAdvancing Weather and Climate\u003c\/i\u003e series a valuable tool. \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eProvides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eClearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eTakes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eDiscusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal  range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eFull colour throughout\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eWritten by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ePart of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e","brand":"Wiley-Blackwell","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47989718974693,"sku":"NP9780470711590","price":153.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9780470711590.jpg?v=1761785234","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/products\/operational-weather-forecasting-isbn-9780470711590","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}