{"product_id":"modelling-complex-projects-isbn-9780471899457","title":"Modelling Complex Projects","description":"It is widely acknowledged that traditional Project Management techniques are no longer sufficient, as projects become more complex and client's demand reduced timescales. Problems that arise include inadequate planning and risk analysis, ineffective project monitoring and control, and uninformed post-mortem analysis. Effective modelling techniques, which capture the complexities of such projects, are therefore necessary for adequate project management. This book looks at those issues, describes some modelling techniques, then discusses their merits and possible synthesis. \u003cbr\u003e  \u003cbr\u003e   \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eThis is the only project management book that deals with Project Modelling.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eFeatures case studies throughout.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ePlaces the various approaches to Project Modelling within a coherent framework, and gives an objective overview.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003eEs ist allgemein bekannt, dass die traditionellen Methoden des Projektmanagment für die Bewältigung der modernen Projektsituation nicht mehr ausreichen. Heute werden Projekte immer komplexer, und die Kunden geben einen immer enger gesteckten Zeitrahmen vor. Entsprechend gilt es, Probleme, wie z.B. unzureichende Planung und Risikoanalyse, unwirksame Projektüberwachung und -steuerung sowie wenig fundierte nachträgliche Analysen von vornherein zu vermeiden. Dieses Buch hilft Ihnen dabei! \"Modelling Complex Projects\" ist das erste Buch, das sich ausschließlich mit dem Thema Projektmodellierung beschäftigt. Es vermittelt wirkungsvolle Modellierungstechniken, die der besonderen Komplexität moderner Projekte gerecht werden. Diskutiert wird eine breite Palette neuer Techniken, wobei auch auf ihre jeweiligen Vorteile und Kombinationsmöglichkeiten eingegangen wird. Mit zahlreichen Fallstudien. \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e1 This Book 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction to the book and the author 1\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy is there a need for this book? 3\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe structure of this book 7\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat do I need to know before I read this book? 8\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 11\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e2 Projects 13\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat is a project? 13\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat are project objectives? 15\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBasic project management techniques 18\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProjects referred to in this book 23\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 29\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e3 Modelling 31\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat is a model? 31\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy do we model? 35\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eModelling in practice 40\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eValidation 44\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 47\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e4 What is a Complex Project? 49\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 49\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat is complexity? Structural complexity 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat is complexity? Uncertainty 55\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat is complexity? Summary 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIncreasing complexity 59\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTools and techniques—and the way ahead 62\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e5 Discrete Effects and Uncertainty 65\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 65\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUncertainty and risk in projects 66\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCost risk: additive calculations 78\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTime risk: effects in a network 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnalysing time risk: simulation 96\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCriticality and cruciality 104\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe three criteria and beyond 115\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 118\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e6 Discrete Effects: Collecting Data 119\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 119\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollecting subjective data: identification 121\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollecting subjective data: general principles of quantification 123\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollecting subjective data: simple activity-duration models 126\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEffect of targets 131\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 136\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e7 The Soft Effects 137\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 137\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSome key project characteristics 139\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eClient behaviour and external effects on the project 140\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eManagement decisions 146\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProject staffing 149\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSubjective effects within the project 151\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummary and looking forward 154\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e8 Systemic Effects 155\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe effects 155\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA brief introduction to cause mapping 157\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQualitative modelling: simple compounding 158\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQualitative modelling: loops 161\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQuantitative modelling 163\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e9 System Dynamics Modelling 167\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction to system dynamics 167\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUsing system dynamics with mapping 171\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eElements of models 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProduction elements 176\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOther elements 188\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eManagerial actions 189\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow effects compound 193\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eValidation 195\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 196\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e10 Hybrid Methods: The Way Forward? 199\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 199\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAdapting standard models using lessons learned from SD 200\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUsing conventional tools to generate SD models 205\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUsing SD and conventional models to inform each other 206\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExtending SD: discrete events and stochastic SD 208\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe need for intelligence 210\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 212\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e11 The Role of the Modeller 215\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 215\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProject management 215\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat makes a good modeller? 217\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStages of project modelling 219\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eChapter summary 230\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e12 Conclusion 233\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAppendix: Extension of time claims 235\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 249\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 265\u003c\/p\u003e  “…provides a lot of useful information about model building in general.” (\u003ci\u003eProject Net\u003c\/i\u003e, April 2004)  \u003cp\u003e\"...an essential resource for those required to model how a project may behave under certain circumstances...\" (\u003ci\u003eJnl of the Operation Research Society\u003c\/i\u003e, Vol 54(12), 2004)\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\"...well conceived, well written, and well produced...\" (\u003ci\u003eChemistry World\u003c\/i\u003e, 1 Feb 2004)\u003c\/p\u003e  TERRY WILLIAMS is Professor and Head of the Management Science Department at Strathclyde University. After studying at Oxford and Birmingham he lectured at Strathclyde University in Operational Research before joining Engineering Consultants YARD (now BAe) where he worked for 9 years developing Project Risk Management and as Risk Manager for major projects. He re-joined Strathclyde University in 1992 and continues research and consultancy modelling on major projects, particularly as one of a team supporting multi-million dollar post-project Delay and Disruption claims in Europe and North America.\u003cbr\u003e Dr Williams is Editor of the Journal of the Operational Research Society. He is a frequent conference speaker, and has published widely in many academic and professional journals and books. He is MAPM, PhD and CMath.  \u003cb\u003eWRITTEN FROM\u003c\/b\u003e the standpoint of a practitioner who is also an academic, all of the techniques in \u003ci\u003eModelling Complex Projects\u003c\/i\u003e have been used in practice, and a set of examples of real life projects are used throughout the project cycle to illustrate the effects that are modelled.  \u003cp\u003eProviding a broad toolkit, with an integrated development through all the tools, this book will show analysts and workers in project management how to:\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eanalyse the risk in a project\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003equantify the effect of individual impacts upon a project (e.g. client changes)\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eunderstand the progress of a project\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eunderstand the behaviour of a project and the effect of management actions on the behaviour\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ecarry out a project post-mortem and prepare a post-project claim\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e  \u003cb\u003eIN RECENT YEARS\u003c\/b\u003e, the need for help in understanding project behaviour has been exacerbated, as projects have become more complex while time-scales have tightened, adding to project complexity. Project teams however, rarely pay sufficient attention to modelling the behaviour of projects and this can lead to inadequate risk analysis, ineffective project control, and uninformed \"lessons learned\".  \u003cp\u003eBecause the behaviour of complex projects is often puzzling, or counter-intuitive, we need models. This book presents a structured toolkit of techniques, developed gradually from the simple to the more complex, and provides examples to show where, when and why the techniques should be used. It looks at what causes project complexity, describes various aspects of project behaviour and develops modelling tools.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStarting with more traditional techniques modelling individual effects on projects, giving a full treatment (including some novel network concepts) the book enables readers to build breakdown - and network - type models. It also considers some of the more difficult aspects of modelling by moving into the \"softer\", more subjective, effects and then looking at systemic models of the effects as they come together. Finally, it looks at various methods of developing hybrid tools, to utilise the benefits of combinations of techniques.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBased on a wealth of practical experience and bringing together a range of tried and tested techniques, this book explains where the use of modelling can help estimate, monitor, control and analyse projects and thus lead to successful implementation.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47989638103269,"sku":"NP9780471899457","price":97.5,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9780471899457.jpg?v=1761784909","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/products\/modelling-complex-projects-isbn-9780471899457","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}