{"product_id":"minding-the-weather-isbn-9780262548816","title":"Minding the Weather","description":"\u003cb\u003eA detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThis book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. \u003ci\u003eMinding the Weather\u003c\/i\u003e investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThe authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.About the Authors ix\u003cbr\u003ePreface xi\u003cbr\u003eAcknowledgments xiii\u003cbr\u003e1 Introduction 1\u003cbr\u003e2 What Is the Forecasting Workspace Like? 27\u003cbr\u003e3 How Do People Come to Be Forecasters? 49\u003cbr\u003e4 How Do Forecasters Describe How They Reason? 81\u003cbr\u003e5 How Well Do Forecasters (and Forecasts) Perform? 101\u003cbr\u003e6 What Characterizes Expertise? 129\u003cbr\u003e7 How Do Forecasters Get to Be Expert Forecasters? 151\u003cbr\u003e8 What Does Research on Forecaster Knowledge Tell Us? 191\u003cbr\u003e9 What Does Research on Forecaster Perception Tell Us? 211\u003cbr\u003e10 What Does Research on Forecaster Reasoning Tell Us? 243\u003cbr\u003e11 Can a Machine Imitate the Human? 287\u003cbr\u003e12 Can a Machine Replace the Human? 305\u003cbr\u003e13 Forecaster-Computer Interdependence 337\u003cbr\u003e14 Conclusions and Prospects 349\u003cbr\u003eAppendix A: List of Acronyms 361\u003cbr\u003eAppendix B: Extended Narratives of Two Cases of Forecasting Severe Weather 365\u003cbr\u003eAppendix C: Example Synoptic Analyses of GOES Visible Images 389\u003cbr\u003eAppendix D: A Case Study in Human-Machine Interdependence 395\u003cbr\u003eAppendix E: References on Visualization Design and Display Technology 399\u003cbr\u003eReferences 409\u003cbr\u003eIndex 463Robert R. Hoffman is Senior Research Scientist at the Institute for Human and Machine Cognition in Pensacola, Florida.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eDaphne S. LaDue is a Research Scientist at the University of Oklahoma's Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and Director of the Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program at the National Weather Center in Norman, Oklahoma.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eH. Michael Mogil is currently a consulting meteorologist focusing on meteorological education in the primary and secondary school systems.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003ePaul J. Roebber is Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eJ. Gregory Trafton is Cognitive Scientist at the Naval Research Laboratory in Washington, D.C.","brand":"The MIT Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46304277135589,"sku":"NP9780262548816","price":55.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9780262548816.jpg?v=1767732726","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/products\/minding-the-weather-isbn-9780262548816","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}