{"product_id":"improving-natural-resource-management-isbn-9780470661130","title":"Improving Natural Resource Management","description":"The decision to implement environmental protection options is a political one. These, and other political and social decisions affect the balance of the ecosystem and how the point of equilibrium desired is to be reached. This book develops a stochastic, temporal model of how political processes influence and are influenced by ecosystem processes and looks at how to find the most politically feasible plan for managing an at-risk ecosystem. Finding such a plan is accomplished by first fitting a mechanistic political and ecological model to a data set composed of observations on both political actions that impact an ecosystem and variables that describe the ecosystem. The parameters of this fitted model are perturbed just enough to cause human behaviour to change so that desired ecosystem states occur. This perturbed model gives the ecosystem management plan needed to reach desired ecosystem states. To construct such a set of interacting models, topics from political science, ecology, probability, and statistics are developed and explored.  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eKey features:\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eExplores politically feasible ways to manage at-risk ecosystems.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eGives agent-based models of how social groups affect ecosystems through time.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eDemonstrates how to fit models of population dynamics to mixtures of wildlife data.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ePresents statistical methods for fitting models of group behaviour to political action data.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eSupported by an accompanying website featuring datasets and JAVA code.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis book will be useful to managers and analysts working in organizations charged with finding practical ways to sustain biodiversity or the physical environment. Furthermore this book also provides a political roadmap to help lawmakers and administrators improve institutional environmental management decision making.\u003c\/p\u003e  Preface.  \u003cp\u003eList of Figures.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eList of Tables.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNomenclature. \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart I Managing a Political-Ecological System.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e1 Introduction.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.1 The Problem to be Addressed.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.2 The Book's Running Example: East African Cheetah.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.3 The EMT's Simulator.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.4 How to Use the EMT to Manage an Ecosystem.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.5 Chapter Topics and Order.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.6 The Book's Accompanying Web Resources.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e2 Simulator Architecture, Operation, and Example Output.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.2 Theory for Agent-Based Simulation.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.3 Action Messages and IntIDs Model Operation.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.4 A Plot for Displaying an Actions History.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.5 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.6 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e3 Blue Whale Population Management.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.2 Current Status of Blue Whales.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.3 Groups that Affect Blue Whale Populations.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.4 Blue Whale Ecosystem ID.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.5 Interactions Between IDs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.6 Data Sets for the Blue Whale EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.7 Main Points of this Chapter's Example.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.8 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e4 Finding the Most Practical Ecosystem Management Plan.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.2 Some Methods for Developing Ecosystem Management Plans.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.3 Consistency Analysis Parameter Estimator Overview.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.4 The MPEMP: Definition and Construction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.5 The MPEMP for East African Cheetah.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.6 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.7 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e5 An Open, Web-Based Ecosystem Management Tool.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.2 Components of a Politically Realistic EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.3 Id Language and Software System.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.4 How the EMT Website Would be Used.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart II Model Formulation, Estimation, and Reliability.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e6 Influence Diagrams of Political Decision Making.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.2 Theories of Political Decision Making.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.3 Architecture of a Group Decision Making ID.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.4 Related Modeling Efforts.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.5 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.6 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e7 Group IDs for the East African Cheetah EMT.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.2 Country Backgrounds.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.3 Selection of Groups to Model.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.4 President IDs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.5 EPA IDs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.6 Rural Residents IDs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.7 Pastoralists IDs.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.8 Conservation NGOs ID.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.9 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.10 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e8 Modeling Wildlife Population Dynamics with an Influence Diagram.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.2 Model of Cheetah and Prey Population Dynamics.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.3 Solving SDEs within an ID.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.4 Example of Ecosystem ID Output.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.5 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.6 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e9 Political Action Taxonomies, Collection Protocols, and an Actions History Example.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.2 Political Action Taxonomies.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.3 Adapting the BCOW Taxonomy to Ecosystem Management Actions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.4 EMAT Coding Protocol.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.5 Actions History Data for the East African Cheetah EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.6 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e10 Ecosystem Data.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.2 Wildlife Monitoring.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.3 Wildlife Abundance Estimation Methods.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.4 East African Cheetah Prey Abundance Data.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.5 Data on Cheetah Habitat Suitability Nodes.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.6 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.7 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e11 Statistical Fitting of the Political-Ecological System Simulator.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.2 Consistency Analysis Applied to an Actions History.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.3 Consistency Analysis of the East African Cheetah EMT Simulator.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.4 Conclusions and Another Collection Initialization Algorithm.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.5 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e12 Assessing the Simulator's Reliability and Improving Its Construct Validity.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.2 Steps for Assessing Simulator Reliability.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.3 Sensitivity Analysis.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.4 One-Step-Ahead Prediction Error Rates.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.5 MC Hypothesis Tests.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.6 Sensitivity to Hidden Bias Analysis.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.7 Conclusions.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.8 Exercises.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart III Assessment.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e13 Current Capabilities and Limitations of the Politically Realistic EMT.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e13.1 Introduction.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e13.2 Current Capabilities of the EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e13.3 Current Limitations of the EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e13.4 Supporting the EMT in the Real World.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e13.5 Consequences of Using a Politically Realistic EMT.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAppendices.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAppendix A Heuristics Used to Assign Hypothesis Values to Parameters.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAppendix B Cluster Computing Version of Hooke and Jeeves Search.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eReferences.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eIndex.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e  \"This said, I acknowledge that the goal that stands behind this book was very challenging and that the EMT model can represent a good starting point.\" (Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2011)  \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cb\u003eTimothy C. Haas\u003c\/b\u003e, Lubar School of Business Administration, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee. Timothy Haas is involved in teaching undergraduate and graduate courses in statistical methods, pursuing decision making and environmental statistics research, and collaborating with faculty on application of statistics to Marketing and Economics.     The decision to implement environmental protection options is a political one. These, and other political and social decisions affect the balance of the ecosystem and how the point of equilibrium desired is to be reached. This book develops a stochastic, temporal model of how political processes influence and are influenced by ecosystem processes and looks at how to find the most politically feasible plan for managing an at-risk ecosystem. Finding such a plan is accomplished by first fitting a mechanistic political and ecological model to a data set composed of observations on both political actions that impact an ecosystem and variables that describe the ecosystem. The parameters of this fitted model are perturbed just enough to cause human behaviour to change so that desired ecosystem states occur. This perturbed model gives the ecosystem management plan needed to reach desired ecosystem states. To construct such a set of interacting models, topics from political science, ecology, probability, and statistics are developed and explored.  \u003cp\u003eKey features:\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eExplores politically feasible ways to manage at-risk ecosystems.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eGives agent-based models of how social groups affect ecosystems through time.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eDemonstrates how to fit models of population dynamics to mixtures of wildlife data.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003ePresents statistical methods for fitting models of group behaviour to political action data.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eSupported by an accompanying website featuring datasets and JAVA code.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis book will be useful to managers and analysts working in organizations charged with finding practical ways to sustain biodiversity or the physical environment. Furthermore this book also provides a political roadmap to help lawmakers and administrators improve institutional environmental management decision making.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47989408923877,"sku":"NP9780470661130","price":94.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9780470661130.jpg?v=1761783991","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/products\/improving-natural-resource-management-isbn-9780470661130","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}