{"product_id":"the-warming-papers-isbn-9781405196161","title":"The Warming Papers","description":"\u003cb\u003eChosen for the 2011 ASLI Choice - Honorable Mention (History Category) for a compendium of the key scientific papers that undergird the global warming forecast.\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cp\u003eGlobal warming is arguably the defining scientific issue of modern times, but it is not widely appreciated that the foundations of our understanding were laid almost two centuries ago with the postulation of a greenhouse effect by Fourier in 1827. The sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric CO2 was first estimated about one century ago, and the rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration was discovered half a century ago. The fundamentals of the science underlying the forecast for human-induced climate change were being published and debated long before the issue rose to public prominence in the last few decades.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Warming Papers\u003c\/i\u003e is a compendium of the classic scientific papers that constitute the foundation of the global warming forecast. The paper trail ranges from Fourier and Arrhenius in the 19th Century to Manabe and Hansen in modern times. Archer and Pierrehumbert provide introductions and commentary which places the papers in their context and provide students with tools to develop and extend their understanding of the subject.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe book captures the excitement and the uncertainty that always exist at the cutting edge of research, and is invaluable reading for students of climate science, scientists, historians of science, and others interested in climate change.\u003c\/p\u003eDiese Sammlung klassischer Originalarbeiten, die den Grundstein für die Vorhersage der globalen Erwärmung legten, überspannt einen zeitlichen Bogen von mehr als 175 Jahren -- von Fourier und Arrhenius im 19. Jahrhundert bis zu Manabe und Hansen heute. Die Einführungen und Kommentare von Archer und Pierrehumbert stellen die Arbeiten in ihren jeweiligen Kontext und helfen den Studenten, ihr Verständnis des Fachgebiets zu vertiefen. Das Buch fängt die Spannung eines topaktuellen Forschungsfeldes ein und unterstützt Naturwissenschaftler, Historiker und ihre Studenten bei der Auffrischung der Prinzipien der Klimaforschung.  Preface.  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 1\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003eClimate Physics.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe Greenhouse Effect.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOn the Temperatures of the Terrestrial Sphere and Interplanetary Space \u003ci\u003eJean-Baptiste Joseph Fourier\u003c\/i\u003e (1824).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eWagging the Dog.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOn the Absorption and radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connexion of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction \u003ci\u003eJohn Tyndall\u003c\/i\u003e (1861).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eBy the Light of the Silvery Moon.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOn the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature on the Ground \u003ci\u003eSvante Arrhenius\u003c\/i\u003e (1896).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eRadiative Transfer.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Influence of the 15μ Carban-Dioxide Band on the Atmospheric Infra-red Cooling Rate \u003ci\u003eG. N. Plaas\u003c\/i\u003e (1956).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe Balance of Energy.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity \u003ci\u003eSyukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald\u003c\/i\u003e (1967).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Effect of Solar Radiation Variations on the Climate of the Earth \u003ci\u003eM. I. Budyko\u003c\/i\u003e (1968).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA Global Climatic Model Based on the Energy Balance of the Earth-Atmosphere System \u003ci\u003eWilliam D.\u003c\/i\u003e \u003ci\u003eSellers\u003c\/i\u003e (1968).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe Birth of the General Circulation Model.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Effects of Doubling the CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e Concentration on the Climate of a General Circulation Model \u003ci\u003eSyukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald\u003c\/i\u003e (1975).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eClimate Sensitivity: Analysis of Feedback Mechanisms \u003ci\u003eJ.\u003c\/i\u003e \u003ci\u003eHansen, I. Fung, A. Lacis, J. Lerner, D. Rind, R. Ruedy, G. Russell and P. Stone,\u003c\/i\u003e (1984).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAerosols.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eClimate Responnse to Increasing Levels of Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols \u003ci\u003eJ. F. B. Mitchell, T. C. Johns, J. M. Gregory and S. F. B. Tett\u003c\/i\u003e (1995).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eOcean Heat and Committed Warming.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEarth’s Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications \u003ci\u003eJames Hansen, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, Josh Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Lacis, Ken Lo, Surabi Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Periwitz, Gary Russell, Gavin A. Schmidt and Nicholas Tausnev\u003c\/i\u003e (2005).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eTaking Earth's Temperature.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGlobal Temperature Variations Between 1861 and 1984 \u003ci\u003eP. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley and P. B. Wright\u003c\/i\u003e (1986).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eContribution to Stratospheric Cooling to Satellite-Inferred Troposphoric Temperature Trends \u003ci\u003eQiang Fu, Celeste M. Johanson, Stephen G. Warren and Dian J. Seidel\u003c\/i\u003e (2004).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNorthern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertanties, and Limitations \u003ci\u003eMichael E. Mann, Raymond Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes\u003c\/i\u003e (1999).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eIce Sheets and Sea Level.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSurface Melt-Induced Acceleration of Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow \u003ci\u003eH. Jay Zwally, Waleed Abdalati, Tom Herring, Kristine Larson, Jack Saba and Konrad Steffen\u003c\/i\u003e (2002).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe Public Statement.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMan-Made Carbon Dioxide and the ‘Greenhouse’ Effect \u003ci\u003eJ. S. Sawyer\u003c\/i\u003e (1972).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCarbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment \u003ci\u003eJule G. Charney, Akio Arakawa, D. James Baker, Bert Bolin, Robert E. Dickinson, Richard M. Goody, Cecil E. Leith, Henry M. Stommel and Carl I. Wunsch\u003c\/i\u003e (1979).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePART 2\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003eCarbon Cycle.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe Sky is Rising.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Artificial Production of Carbon Dioxide and its Influence on Temperature \u003ci\u003eG. S. Callendar\u003c\/i\u003e (1938).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eDenial and Acceptance.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCarbon Dioxide Exchange Between Atmosphere and Ocean and the Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e During the Past Decades \u003ci\u003eRoger Revelle and Hans E. Suess\u003c\/i\u003e (1957).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDistribution of Matter in the Sea and Atmosphere: Changes in the Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmoshere and Sea due to Fossil Fuel Combustion \u003ci\u003eBert Bolin and Erik Eriksson\u003c\/i\u003e (1958).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eBookends.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmoshpere \u003ci\u003eC. D. Keeling\u003c\/i\u003e (1960).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIs Carbon Dioxide from Fossil Fuel Changing Man’s Environment? \u003ci\u003eCharles D. Keeling\u003c\/i\u003e (1970).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eOne if by Land.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eChanges of Land Biota and Their Importance for the Carbon Cycle \u003ci\u003eBert Bolin\u003c\/i\u003e (1977).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eObservational Constraints on the Global Atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e Budget \u003ci\u003ePieter P.\u003c\/i\u003e \u003ci\u003eTans, Inez Y. Fung and Taro Takahashi\u003c\/i\u003e (1990).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAcceleration of Global Warming due to Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled Climate Model \u003ci\u003ePeter M. Cox, Richard A. Betts, Chris D. Jones, Steven A. Spall and Ian J. Totterdell\u003c\/i\u003e (2000).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eTwo if by Sea.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNeutralization of Fossil Fuel CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e by Marine Calcium Carbonate \u003ci\u003eW. S. Broecker and T. Takahashi\u003c\/i\u003e (1977).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEffects of Fuel and Forest Conservation on Future Levels of atmospheric Carbon Dioxide \u003ci\u003eJames C. G. Walker and James F. Kasting\u003c\/i\u003e (1992).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAbrupt Deep-Seas Warming, Palaeoceanographic Changes and Benthic Extinctions at the End of the Palaeocene \u003ci\u003eJ. P. Kennett and L. D. Stott\u003c\/i\u003e (1991).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eOcean pH.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnthropogenic Carbon and Ocean pH \u003ci\u003eKen Caldeira and Michael E. Wickett\u003c\/i\u003e (2003).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReduced Calcification of Marine Plankton in Response to Increased Atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e\u003ci\u003eUlf Riebesell, Ingrid Zondervan, Bjorn Rost, Phillippe D. Tortell, Richard E. Zeebe and Francois M. M. Morel\u003c\/i\u003e (2000).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eTiny Bubbles.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEvidence From Polar Ice Cores for the Increase in Atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e in the Past Two Centuries  \u003ci\u003eA Neftel, E. Moor, H. Oeschger and B. Stauffer\u003c\/i\u003e (1985).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eVostok Ice Core Provides 160,000-Year record of Atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e\u003ci\u003eJ. M. Barnola, D. Raynaud, Y. S. Korotkevich and C. Lorius\u003c\/i\u003e (1987).\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex.\u003c\/p\u003e \"Summing Up: Highly recommended. Upper-division undergraduates and above; general audiences.\" (Choice, 1 August 2011)  \u003cp\u003e \"A hefty new volume published by Wiley-Blackwell and edited by the climate scientists David Archer and Raymond Pierrehumbert at the University of Chicago, it's a rich feast for anyone who wants to trace the history of climate science from its earliest origins to the present.\" (\u003ci\u003eThe New York Times\u003c\/i\u003e, February 2011)\u003c\/p\u003e  \u003cb\u003eDavid Archer\u003c\/b\u003e is a Professor in Geophysical Sciences, and a fellow of the American Geophysical Union.  His research pertains to the global carbon cycle and its relation to Earth's climate in the past and the future.  Archer is the author of The Long Thaw: How humans are changing the next 100,000 years of Earth's climate (Princeton University Press, 2008), an undergraduate text book called Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast (Blackwell, 2006), and a summary guide to the IPCC Fourth Scientific Assessment Report called The Climate Crisis (Cambridge University Press, 2009).  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eRay Pierrehumbert\u003c\/b\u003e is the Louis Block Professor in Geophysical Sciences, a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union, and was named Chevalier de l'Ordre des Palmes Academiques by the Republic of France.  Pierrehumbert studies the physics of climate, especially regarding the long-term evolution of the climates of Earth, Mars.Venus, Titan and extrasolar planets. Pierrehumbert was an author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Third Assessment Report (1997-2001), and a member of the National Research Council's Panel on Abrupt Climate Change and its Societal Impacts (2000-2001), and is currently serving on the National Research Council Board on Atmospheric Science and Climate, and the National Research Council Panel on CO2 Stabilization Targets.\u003c\/p\u003e  Global warming is arguably the defining scientific issue of modern times, but it is not widely appreciated that the foundations of our understanding were laid almost two centuries ago with the postulation of a greenhouse effect by Fourier in 1827. The sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e was first estimated about one century ago, and the rise in atmospheric CO\u003csub\u003e2\u003c\/sub\u003e concentration was discovered half a century ago.  The fundamentals of the science underlying the forecast for human-induced climate change were being  published and debated long before the issue rose to public prominence in the last few decades.  \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Warming Papers\u003c\/i\u003e is a compendium of the classic scientific papers that constitute the foundation of the global warming forecast.  The paper trail ranges from Fourier and Arrhenius in the 19\u003csup\u003eth\u003c\/sup\u003e Century  to Manabe and Hansen in modern times. Archer and Pierrehumbert provide introductions and commentary which places the papers in their context and provide students with tools to develop and extend their understanding of the subject.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe book capture the excitement and the uncertainty that always exist at the cutting edge of research, and is invaluable reading for students of climate science, scientists, historians of science, and others interested in climate change.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley-Blackwell","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47990364897509,"sku":"NP9781405196161","price":105.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9781405196161.jpg?v=1761787526","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/es\/products\/the-warming-papers-isbn-9781405196161","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}