{"product_id":"the-mystery-of-market-movements-isbn-9781118844984","title":"The Mystery of Market Movements","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eA quantifiable framework for unlocking the unconscious forces that shape markets\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThere has long been a notion that subliminal forces play a great part in causing the seemingly irrational financial bubbles, which conventional economic theory, again and again, fails to explain. However, these forces, sometimes labeled ‘animal spirits’ or ‘irrational exuberance, have remained elusive - until now. \u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e provides you with a methodology to timely predict and profit from changes in human investment behaviour based on the workings of the collective unconscious.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNiklas Hageback draws in on one of psychology's most influential ideas - archetypes - to explain how they form investor’s perceptions and can be predicted and turned into profit. \u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e provides;\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eA review of the collective unconscious and its archetypes based on Carl Jung’s theories and empirical case studies that highlights and assesses the influences of the collective unconscious on financial bubbles and \u003ci\u003ezeitgeists\u003c\/i\u003e\n\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eFor the first time being able to objectively measure the impact of archetypal forces on human thoughts and behaviour with a view to provide early warning signals on major turns in the markets. This is done through a step-by-step guide on how to develop a measurement methodology based on an analysis of the language of the unconscious; figurative speech such as metaphors and symbolism, drawn out and deciphered from \u003ci\u003eBig Data\u003c\/i\u003e sources, allowing for  quantification into time series\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eThe book is supplemented with an online resource that presents continuously updated bespoken archetypal indexes with predictive capabilities to major financial indexes\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003eInvestors are often unaware of the \u003ci\u003ereal\u003c\/i\u003e reasons behind their own financial decisions. This book explains why psychological drivers in the collective unconscious dictates not only investment behaviour but also political, cultural and social trends. Understanding these forces allows you to stay ahead of the curve and profit from market tendencies that more traditional methods completely overlook.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAcknowledgments ix\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIntroduction 1\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 1 Psychology: A Primer 7\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSome Key Psychological Concepts 9\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Unconscious 13\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 21\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 22\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 24\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 2 Archetypes and Symbols 27\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCarl Gustav Jung 27\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eArchetypes: A Background 31\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy Do Archetypes Activate? 40\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSymbols: The Tangible Manifestations of Archetypes 45\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 52\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 3 How Archetypes Influence and Impact Behaviour 55\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCharacteristics of the Activation of an Archetype 55\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProjections and Other Defense Mechanisms 56\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Role of Scapegoats 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eShadow Projections 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eZeitgeist 59\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMass Hysteria and Panics 62\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 65\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 65\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 66\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 4 Archetypal Influences in the Financial Markets 67\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinancial Bubbles 67\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnimal Spirits 71\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAn Archetypal Perspective on the Development of Financial Bubbles 74\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 77\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 77\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 78\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 5 Existing Approaches to Capture Sentiments in Financial Markets, and Why They Do Not Work 81\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBehavioural Finance 82\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTechnical Analysis 83\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEfficient Market Hypothesis 84\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBlack Swans 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSocial Mood 87\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEmotion Words 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 90\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 91\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 6 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part I: Building Blocks 93\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLinking Symbols to Archetypes 96\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCapturing Symbols 98\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 108\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 109\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 7 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part II: The Data 111\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eData Sources 112\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCapture and Cleansing 114\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRelativisation of Symbol Words 119\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTwo Article Examples 120\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 128\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 128\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 129\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 8 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part III: The Model 131\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSignal Theory 133\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCorrelation Testing 136\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTesting the Time Series against Known Cycles 138\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConstructing Archetypal Composite Indexes 138\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBacktesting and Calibration 141\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 142\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 143\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 143\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 9 Examples of Archetypal Influences on the Formation of Financial Bubbles 145\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Dot-Com Bubble 148\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe US Property Bubble 155\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConclusion 159\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotes 160\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReferences 161\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eCHAPTER 10 Conclusion 163\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow Archetypes Play Out 164\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAreas for Further Research 165\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTime Constants 166\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMultiple Archetypes 166\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTipping Points 167\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSubliminal Stimulation 168\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eArchetypal Influences in Other Areas 169\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eArchetypal Influences in Other Cultures and Languages 170\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAre the Collective Unconscious and Its Archetypes Constraining Free Will? 171\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInfluences on Finance 172\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAbout the Author 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 177\u003c\/p\u003e  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eNIKLAS HAGEBACK\u003c\/b\u003e has extensive experience in the financial sector working at tier-one financial institutions and consulting firms, such as Deutsche Bank, KPMG, and Goldman Sachs, holding regional risk management and oversight roles in both Europe and Asia. This included leading the implementation of operational risk and economic capital frameworks and also engaging in the public debate through a number of articles published, public presentations and regulatory lobbying.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHe currently resides in Hong Kong where he is running a money management firm as well as managing a portfolio of financial software start-up firms with a special focus on research and product development in the area of behavioural finance.\u003c\/p\u003e  \u003cp\u003eUnderlying the rise and collapse of the housing bubble, the dot.com upsurge and crash, and the worldwide economic climb and breakdown, are irrational impulses–from mania to panic–that play a major role in collective human investment behaviour.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e attempts to answer the key questions of when and why financial bubbles are likely to form by exploring the collective unconscious and its archetypes. Armed with an understanding of how archetypes drive the financial markets, investors will be able to better identify irrational behaviours and the hidden investment opportunities they create.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAs financial expert Niklas Hageback explains, financial markets, with their extensive output and frequent updates of real-time data, provide fertile ground for statistical testing of the archetype hypothesis. By building a record of the appearance of archetypal symbols and analysing the frequency of their appearance versus financial indexes, it is possible to predict price trends over time.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e includes an empirically verified measurement methodology that is designed to capture the subliminal forces that influence human behaviour and investment decisions, in particular, and clearly demonstrates how archetypes can give rise to financial bubbles.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn clear and understandable terms, Niklas Hageback outlines the archetypal conceptual measurement methodology model and offers insight on the statistical methods used to develop and test archetypal symbol time series. He discusses the model’s foundational building blocks and explores the components that constitute the measurement units. He also reveals the data sources and includes samples of how the symbol selection is conducted.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e is a practical guide to understanding archetypal influences. The website offers access to continuously updated indexes that will give investors the ability to track changes in archetypal mood patterns and boost their ability to make wise investment decisions.\u003c\/p\u003e  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eDiscover how human behaviour affects the global marketplace\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThroughout history financial bubbles–that are often based on irrational human behaviour–have periodically wrought havoc on the world economic stage. Conventional economic models have failed to predict how erratic behaviour influences the marketplace.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e unravels the secrets of when and why financial bubbles are likely to form by exploring the influence of the collective unconscious and its archetypes. As financial expert Niklas Hageback explains, archetypes are the unconscious mental images that affect our behaviour and judgement without our being consciously aware of it.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e contains an introduction to Carl Jung’s view of the collective unconscious and shows how archetypes activate the symbols that can be used to measure human behaviour. The author then explores how archetypes and symbols directly affect the market and outlines the groundbreaking archetypal conceptual measurement methodology model. In accessible terms, Hageback discusses the model’s basic building blocks and explains the various components that comprise the measurement units. He offers information on the data sources and includes a wealth of samples of how the symbol selection is conducted.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWith \u003ci\u003eThe Mystery of Market Movements\u003c\/i\u003e and its companion website www.forecastrix.com, you have the information necessary to understand archetypal influences in the marketplace and the tools to leverage that knowledge to ensure strong investment returns.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47990291759333,"sku":"NP9781118844984","price":70.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9781118844984.jpg?v=1761787229","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/es\/products\/the-mystery-of-market-movements-isbn-9781118844984","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}