{"product_id":"probabilistic-transmission-system-planning-isbn-9780470630013","title":"Probabilistic Transmission System Planning","description":"The book is composed of 12 chapters and three appendices, and can be divided into four parts. The first part includes Chapters 2 to 7, which discuss the concepts, models, methods and data in probabilistic transmission planning. The second part, Chapters 8 to 11, addresses four essential issues in probabilistic transmission planning applications using actual utility systems as examples. Chapter 12, as the third part, focuses on a special issue, i.e. how to deal with uncertainty of data in probabilistic transmission planning. The fourth part consists of three appendices, which provide the basic knowledge in mathematics for probabilistic planning.  Preface and Acknowledgments xxi  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e1 INTRODUCTION 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.1 Overview of Transmission Planning 1\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.2 Necessity of Probabilistic Transmission Planning 6\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e1.3 Outline of the Book 8\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e2 BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROBABILISTIC PLANNING 11\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.1 Introduction 11\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.2 Probabilistic Planning Criteria 12\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.3 Procedure of Probabilistic Planning 14\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.4 Other Aspects in Probabilistic Planning 17\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2.5 Conclusions 18\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e3 LOAD MODELING 21\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.1 Introduction 21\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.2 Load Forecast 22\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.3 Load Clustering 37\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.4 Uncertainty and Correlation of Bus Loads 42\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.5 Voltage- and Frequency-Dependent Bus Loads 44\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3.6 Conclusions 46\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e4 SYSTEM ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES 49\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.1 Introduction 49\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.2 Power Flow 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.3 Probabilistic Power Flow 53\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.4 Optimal Power Flow (OPF) 57\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.5 Probabilistic Search Optimization Algorithms 64\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.6 Contingency Analysis and Ranking 72\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.7 Voltage Stability Evaluation 76\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.8 Transient Stability Solution 80\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4.9 Conclusions 83\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e5 PROBABILISTIC RELIABILITY EVALUATION 85\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.1 Introduction 85\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.2 Reliability Indices 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.3 Reliability Worth Assessment 90\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.4 Substation Adequacy Evaluation 93\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.5 Composite System Adequacy Evaluation 99\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.6 Probabilistic Voltage Stability Assessment 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.7 Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment 114\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5.8 Conclusions 120\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e6 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS METHODS 123\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.1 Introduction 123\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.2 Cost Components of Projects 124\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.3 Time Value of Money and Present Value Method 125\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.4 Depreciation 131\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.5 Economic Assessment of Investment Projects 137\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.6 Economic Assessment of Equipment Replacement 142\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.7 Uncertainty Analysis in Economic Assessment 144\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6.8 Conclusions 147\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e7 DATA IN PROBABILISTIC TRANSMISSION PLANNING 149\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.1 Introduction 149\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.2 Data for Power System Analysis 150\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.3 Reliability Data in Probabilistic Planning 163\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.4 Other Data 176\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7.5 Conclusions 178\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e8 FUZZY TECHNIQUES FOR DATA UNCERTAINTY 181\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.1 Introduction 181\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.2 Fuzzy Models of System Component Outages 182\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.3 Mixed Fuzzy and Probabilistic Models for Loads 190\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.4 Combined Probabilistic and Fuzzy Techniques 192\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.5 Example 1: Case Study Not Considering Weather Effects 196\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.6 Example 2: Case Study Considering Weather Effects 202\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e8.7 Conclusions 212\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e9 NETWORK REINFORCEMENT PLANNING 215\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.1 Introduction 215\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.2 Probabilistic Planning of Bulk Power Supply System 216\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.3 Probabilistic Planning of Transmission Loop Network 225\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9.4 Conclusions 234\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e10 RETIREMENT PLANNING OF NETWORK COMPONENTS 237\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.1 Introduction 237\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.2 Retirement Timing of an Aged AC Cable 238\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.3 Replacement Strategy of an HVDC Cable 247\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e10.4 Conclusions 257\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e11 SUBSTATION PLANNING 259\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.1 Introduction 259\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.2 Probabilistic Planning of Substation Confi guration 260\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.3 Transformer Spare Planning 272\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e11.4 Conclusions 280\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e12 SINGLE-CIRCUIT SUPPLY SYSTEM PLANNING 283\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.1 Introduction 283\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.2 Reliability Performance of Single-Circuit Supply Systems 285\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.3 Planning Method of Single-Circuit Supply Systems 288\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.4 Application to Actual Utility System 298\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e12.5 Conclusions 307\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAPPENDIX A ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY THEORY AND STATISTICS 309\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA.1 Probability Operation Rules 309\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA.2 Four Important Probability Distributions 310\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA.3 Measures of Probability Distribution 313\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA.4 Parameter Estimation 314\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA.5 Monte Carlo Simulation 316\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAPPENDIX B ELEMENTS OF FUZZY MATHEMATICS 321\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eB.1 Fuzzy Sets 321\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eB.2 Fuzzy Numbers 323\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eB.3 Two Typical Fuzzy Numbers in Engineering Applications 325\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eB.4 Fuzzy Relations 326\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAPPENDIX C ELEMENTS OF RELIABILITY EVALUATION 329\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eC.1 Basic Concepts 329\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eC.2 Crisp Reliability Evaluation 331\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eC.3 Fuzzy Reliability Evaluation 335\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eReferences 341\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eIndex 349\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e  \"Principle engineer at a Canadian electric company, Li uses his technical reports and papers as a foundation for a comprehensive guide to planning a system to transmit electricity from its generation source to the sub-transmission stations where it enters the distribution system.\" (Book News, 1 August 2011)  \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e Award-winning author \u003cb\u003eWenyuan Li\u003c\/b\u003e is well known and highly respected in the field of electrical power engineering. He serves as Principle Engineer at BC Hydro and is a fellow of IEEE and EIC, serving on the editorial board of several international journals.He has published five books and numerous academic papers on power systems.  \u003cb\u003eA solid reference exploring one of the most important areas in the electric power industry\u003c\/b\u003e  \u003cp\u003eTransmission planning is one of the most essential activities in the electric power industry, with billions of dollars invested in transmission systems by electric utility companies and governments every year. In the United States alone, the Obama Administration's energy plan is spending about four billion dollars in smart grids and transmission infrastructures.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSystematically discussing probabilistic transmission planning and its applications that make systems smarter, \u003ci\u003eProbabilistic Transmission System Planning\u003c\/i\u003e addresses the concepts, models, methods, data, and various actual issues in probabilistic transmission planning. The probabilistic concept is a main thread throughout the book and touches each chapter. The applied examples are all based on real projects that have been implemented in the utility industry.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAll basic aspects in transmission planning are covered, including:\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eLoad forecast and load modeling\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eConventional and special system analysis techniques\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eReliability evaluation\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eEconomic assessment\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eData preparation\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eFuzzy techniques for data uncertainty\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eNetwork reinforcement planning\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eRetirement planning of network components\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eSubstation planning\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e \u003cp\u003eSingle-circuit supply system planning\u003c\/p\u003e \u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003eMajor blackout events in power systems in recent years indicate that deterministic methods are not good enough. With probabilistic methods providing planning solutions closer to reality, \u003ci\u003eProbabilistic Transmission System Planning\u003c\/i\u003e presents practicing engineers, researchers, professors, and graduates in the power system field with the latest ideas and methods for enhancing transmission systems.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Wiley-IEEE Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47989857321189,"sku":"NP9780470630013","price":129.95,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1842\/7735\/files\/9780470630013.jpg?v=1761785695","url":"https:\/\/k12savings.com\/es\/products\/probabilistic-transmission-system-planning-isbn-9780470630013","provider":"K12savings","version":"1.0","type":"link"}