High Probability Trading Strategies

In High Probability Trading Strategies, author and well-known trading educator Robert Miner skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan–from entry to exit–that he has developed over the course of his distinguished twenty-plus-year career. The result is a complete approach to trading that will allow you to trade confidently in a variety of markets and time frames. Written with the serious trader in mind, this reliable resource details a proven approach to analyzing market behavior, identifying profitable trade setups, and executing and managing trades–from entry to exit.

Foreword ix

Preface xi

PART ONE High Probability Trading Strategies for Any Market and Any Time Frame 1

CHAPTER 1 High Probability Trade Strategies for Any Market and Any Time Frame 3

Any Market, Any Time Frame 4

Conditions with a High Probability Outcome 4

Leading and Lagging Indicators 5

What You Will Learn in This Book and CD 6

Let’s Get Started 8

CHAPTER 2 Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategy 9

What Is Momentum? 11

Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies 12

The Basic Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy 12

Momentum Reversals 14

Most Price Indicators Represent Rate-of-Change 15

Momentum and Price Trends Often Diverge 16

How Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategies Work 19

Which Indicators to Use for Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies 31

What Are the Best Indicator Settings to Use? 36

Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy Rules 43

Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy Trade Filter 46

CHAPTER 3 Practical Pattern Recognition for Trends and Corrections 49

Why Is It Important to Identify a Trend or Correction? 50

Simple Pattern Recognition Based On Elliott Wave 52

Trend or Correction: The Overlap Guideline 52

ABC and Away We Go 58

Complex Corrections 64

Overlap Is the Key to Identify a Correction 66

Trends and Five-Wave Patterns 67

Greater in Time and Price 75

Fifth Waves Are the Key 77

Momentum and Pattern Position 79

Momentum and Pattern Not Enough 82

CHAPTER 4 Beyond Fib Retracements 83

Internal Retracements and Corrections 84

Alternate Price Projections Qualify Internal Retracements 89

More Alternate Price Projections 92

External Retracements Help Identify the Final Section of a Trend or Correction 96

Pattern Price Targets 99

Price, Pattern, and Momentum 106

No Excuse 108

CHAPTER 5 Beyond Traditional Cycles 111

Time Retracements and Corrections 112

Alternate Time Projections Narrow the Time Retracement Range 114

More Time Factors 117

The Time Target Zone 118

Time Bands 128

More Time Factors 135

Conclusion 137

CHAPTER 6 Entry Strategies and Position Size 139

Entry Strategy 1: Trailing One-Bar Entry and Stop 140

Entry Strategy 2: Swing Entry and Stop 150

Position Size 158

Conclusion 162

CHAPTER 7 Exit Strategies and Trade Management 163

Multiple-Unit Trading 164

Risk/Reward Ratios 165

Exit Strategies 166

Trade Management 168

Trade Only the High Probability, Optimum Setups 197

PART TWO Trading the Plan 199

CHAPTER 8 Real Traders, Real Time 201

Adam Sowinski (Slorzewo, Poland) 202

Jagir Singh (London, United Kingdom) 206

Cees Van Hasselt (Breda, The Netherlands) 214

Kerry Szymanski (Tucson, Arizona) 218

Derrik Hobbs (Warsaw, Indiana) 222

Carolyn Boroden (Scottsdale, Arizona) 227

Jaime Johnson (Encinitas, California, and Bogata, Columbia) 231

Chapter Summary 234

CHAPTER 9 The Business of Trading and Other Matters 237

Routines and Trading Records 237

Why Traders Win or Lose 239

Technology, Trading Time Frames, Markets to Trade, and Leverage 242

Trade for Points, Not for Ticks 244

You Can’t Buy Success 244

You CAN Be a Successful Trader 245

More Bar-by-Bar Entry to Exit Trade Examples 247

Glossary 249

Bibliography 261

About the Author 263

Index 265

"... teaches in a practical step-by-step manner... skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan." (Traders, November 2010)

ROBERT C. MINER has been a leading trading educator for more than twenty years and publishes daily reports on the Forex, stock, and futures markets. He speaks around the world on trading and has written for a wide variety of trading publications. Miner has been named "Guru of the Year" and is a first-place winner of a major brokerage company's annual real-time trading contest.

Trading today's markets—including stocks, futures, or Forex—can be a challenging and difficult endeavor. But it is possible to achieve consistent success in this field, if you're prepared to learn a complete trading plan from entry to exit.

In High Probability Trading Strategies, author and well-known trading educator Robert Miner skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan—from entry to exit—that he has developed over the course of his distinguished twenty-plus-year career. The result is a complete approach to trading that will allow you to trade confidently in a variety of markets and time frames.

With this book as your guide, you'll quickly learn how to recognize high-probability trading opportunities, pinpoint exact entry and stop prices, and manage a trade until it's completely closed out. You'll discover how the four key factors of dual-time-frame-momentum, pattern, price, and time can guide you down the path to trading profits. As you become familiar with the proven strategies and techniques taught in High Probability Trading Strategies, you'll also come to understand the type of market information you can use to make specific trade decisions and how to execute those decisions from start to finish.

Miner teaches in a practical, step-by-step manner until a complete trading plan is developed. While the ideas found here are essential to trading success, the best way to learn is by example. That's why Miner has devoted an entire chapter—called "Real Traders, Real Time"—to trade examples submitted by his past students. In it, you'll see how they apply the strategies taught throughout the book to markets around the world.

A companion website completes this comprehensive learning package. It's not a word-for-word review of the material in the book, but rather an additional tool to illustrate more examples. With it, you'll learn how to put high-probability trading strategies into practice, day by day and bar by bar, for many different markets and time frames.

Written with the serious trader in mind, High Probability Trading Strategies details a practical approach to analyzing market behavior, identify-ing profitable trade setups, and executing and managing trades—from entry to exit—that will allow you to both preserve and grow your capital. If you're looking to make the most of your time in today's markets, look no further than High Probability Trading Strategies.

High Probability Trading Strategies

Trading today's markets—including stocks, futures, or Forex—can be a challenging and difficult endeavor. But it is possible to achieve consistent success in this field, if you're prepared to learn a complete trading plan from entry to exit.

In High Probability Trading Strategies, author and well-known trading educator Robert Miner skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan—from entry to exit—that he has developed over the course of his distinguished twenty-plus-year career. The result is a complete approach to trading that will allow you to trade confidently in a variety of markets and time frames.

With this book as your guide, you'll quickly learn how to recognize high-probability trading opportunities, pinpoint exact entry and stop prices, and manage a trade until it's completely closed out. You'll discover how the four key factors of dual-time-frame-momentum, pattern, price, and time can guide you down the path to trading profits. As you become familiar with the proven strategies and techniques taught in High Probability Trading Strategies, you'll also come to understand the type of market information you can use to make specific trade decisions and how to execute those decisions from start to finish.

Miner teaches in a practical, step-by-step manner until a complete trading plan is developed. While the ideas found here are essential to trading success, the best way to learn is by example. That's why Miner has devoted an entire chapter—called "Real Traders, Real Time"—to trade examples submitted by his past students. In it, you'll see how they apply the strategies taught throughout the book to markets around the world.

A companion website completes this compre-hensive learning package. It's not a word-for-word review of the material in the book, but rather an additional tool to illustrate more examples. With it, you'll learn how to put high-probability trading strategies into practice, day by day and bar by bar, for many different markets and time frames.

Written with the serious trader in mind, High Probability Trading Strategies details a practical approach to analyzing market behavior, identify-ing profitable trade setups, and executing and managing trades—from entry to exit—that will allow you to both preserve and grow your capital. If you're looking to make the most of your time in today's markets, look no further than High Probability Trading Strategies.