Predicting Malicious Behavior

This revolutionary book combines real-world security scenarios with actual tools to predict and prevent incidents of terrorism, network hacking, individual criminal behavior, and more. Written by an expert with intelligence officer experience who invented the technology, it explores the keys to understanding the dark side of human nature, various types of security threats (current and potential), and how to construct a methodology to predict and combat malicious behavior. The companion CD demonstrates available detection and prediction systems and presents a walkthrough on how to conduct a predictive analysis that highlights proactive security measures.

• Guides you through the process of predicting malicious behavior, using real world examples and how malicious behavior may be prevented in the future
• Illustrates ways to understand malicious intent, dissect behavior, and apply the available tools and methods for enhancing security
• Covers the methodology for predicting malicious behavior, how to apply a predictive methodology, and tools for predicting the likelihood of domestic and global threats
• CD includes a series of walkthroughs demonstrating how to obtain a predictive analysis and how to use various available tools, including Automated Behavior Analysis

Predicting Malicious Behavior fuses the behavioral and computer sciences to enlighten anyone concerned with security and to aid professionals in keeping our world safer.

Foreword xxvii

Introduction xxix

Part I Understanding the Dark Side: Malicious Intent 1

Chapter 1 Analyzing the Malicious Individual 3

Chapter 2 Analyzing the Malicious Group 35

Chapter 3 Analyzing Country-Level Threats 63

Chapter 4 Threats and Security Nightmares: Our Current Reactive State of Security 91

Chapter 5 Current Network Security 113

Chapter 6 Future Threats to Our National Security 137

Part II Dissecting Malicious Behavior 161

Chapter 7 Applying Behavior Principles: Predicting Individual Malicious Behavior 163

Chapter 8 Applying Behavior Principles: Predicting Group Malicious Behavior 183

Chapter 9 Applying a Predictive Methodology: From Principles to Practice 203

Chapter 10 Predicting Domestic Threat 231

Chapter 11 Computer Networks: Protection from External Threat 255

Chapter 12 Computer Networks: Protection from Internal Threat 277

Chapter 13 Predicting Global Threat 299

Part III Applying Tools and Methods 329

Chapter 14 Predictive Capability in Software: Tools for a New Approach 331

Chapter 15 Predictive Behavioral Modeling: Automated Tools of the Trade 357

Chapter 16 Developing AuBA Applications 383

Chapter 17 Mastering AuBA Tools for Real-World Use 405

Chapter 18 Analyzing Future Malicious Behavior 425

Part IV Predicting Malicious Behavior: Tools and Methods to Support a Paradigm Shift in Security 449

Chapter 19 AuBA Future Extensions Today 451

Chapter 20 How to Predict Malicious Behavior: A Walkthrough 471

Appendix What's on the DVD? 497

Index 501

Gary M. Jackson is an Assistant Vice President and Technical Lead within Cyber Operations at Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC). He is the inventor of the CheckMate intrusion protection system and automated behavior analysis (AuBA) methods and tools for predicting malicious behavior. As a former CIA intelligence officer, he has a unique behavior analysis perspective. He has also designed applications for the Secret Service and CIA.

Identify and fight security threats at every level with groundbreaking tools

Whether it's a terrorist attack, network hack, or criminal activity, the threats are growing and security remains a top concern. This book arms you with the real-world security scenarios and tools needed to predict and prevent the next incident from occurring. You'll gain expert insight into how malicious behaviors from the past can help you understand future events. You'll then learn how to apply software, modeling, and methods to effectively fight this behavior and achieve a paradigm shift in security.

• Gain a better understanding of malicious intent and predicting malicious behavior
• Learn about the threats and security nightmares we face every day and our current reactions to them
• Prevent malicious behavior from occurring in the future with the help of real-world examples
• Dissect behavior and utilize the available tools and methods for enhancing security
• Apply a predictive methodology to determine the likelihood of domestic and global threats
• Use the included DVD to walk through a predictive analysis and take advantage of different detection and predictive security system demos